Martingale Trading Strategy - Forex Opportunities

Forex Martingale Strategy

Forex Martingale Strategy
My name is Marek Hawk and I am a professional trader of Horizon Trading team. For today’s article we selected a controversial topic often discussed in trading community, it is the Martingale trading system. Would you be interested in a trading strategy that is virtually 100% profitable? Many finds this system as gambler’s tool with high risk exposure and they do not think about starting with the Martingale at all. But the Martingale strategy is based on probability theory, and if your pockets are deep enough, it has a near 100% success rate.
Does it really work? Is it possible to win always in the end? Let’s find out!

How Martingale Works

The Martingale system is a simple process that involves doubling your bets after a loss. The idea is that if you can make a trade that offers probabilities, you eventually win and make enough money on the win to cover all your previous losses, and have a profit left over equal to your first bet.
The Martingale is a mechanism of placing double bet in case of loss.
A martingale strategy relies on the theory of mean reversion. In the end you should win at some time, the theory says, and you should make a profit. Let’s look at mechanics of the martingale system.

Examples of the Martingale Strategy

Let’s assume trading strategy which works with 1:1 risk-reward ratio and initial risk for first trade is 100 $. Your initial account balance is 10 000 USD.

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First trade was speculation on growth and your long trade worked out. In another situation you found an interesting entry level to open the new long trade, but the speculation did not work out and you are back to the initial bankroll value. Next trade you needed to double your risk and you needed to open a larger position to cover the previous loss and to gain profit. Unfortunately, you suffered another loss and you had to double your risk again to 400 $. Next trade you won, and your equity raised to 10 200 $.
The problem with the Martingale is the situation when you get a long streak of losing trades. You must always double your risk and in the end your last trade in the row could be huge portion of the capital, and you can be still wrong…

Money Management of the Martingale System

While the Martingale System seems like a fantastic way to make money by trading, it’s not a good solution in case of money management. In pure mathematical terms the system is bulletproof, however, in the reality of the trading world it’s full of problems. The main issue with the Martingale is that it requires an extremely large capital. Let’s look how you would carry on with the system with your equity of 12 200 $ in case of losing streak.

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With initial trade which was less than 1 % of your capital, you suffered 6 losses with the Martingale system, and you are done. It is not possible to continue with doubling your risk as you run out your capital for next trade and you end up with the drawdown -6 300 $, more than 60 % from the peak of equity! Because of this reason, it is necessary before putting the Martingale system into the real world, to know statistical attributes of your trading system. You can use useful mathematical and statistical applications, like MATLAB, and run statistical simulations, like Monte Carlo, which are widely used in trading industry. You need to know a precise output of your strategy in matters of your risk and money management!

Example of Monte Carlo analysis and the equity of various scenarios of the Martingale Strategy. For gaining more than 50 %, the system had to overcome even negative results. The account would be wiped out many times.

Usual equities of robust trading system simulated by Monte Carlo analysis.

Trading Forex with the Martingale

One of the reasons the Martingale strategy is so popular in the currency market is because, unlike stocks, currencies tend to go back to their mean. Although companies in term of probabilities can bankrupt more often, countries cannot. For example, even if currency is devalued or depreciated, the chances that currency's value reaches zero are very low.

Principle of averaging the price of the Martingale trading strategy.
The forex market also offers the ability to earn interest which allows traders to offset a portion of their losses with interest income. This means that a martingale trader may want to only trade the strategy on currency pairs in the direction of positive carry. In other words, they would buy a currency with a high interest rate and earn that interest while, at the same time, selling a currency with a low interest rate. With many lots, interest income can be very substantial and could work to reduce your average entry price.

Conclusion

In this article I described principles of the Martingale trading strategy. The system may look like a perfect winning system; however, it carries huge risk exposure of your capital. A trader needs to be prepared to work on professional money management techniques in case of building working Martingale system. I gave you some hints which tools can help managing this mathematical trading system. I described the examples of trading the Martingale trading techniques on forex markets.
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Formation Trading - Stratégie : les Martingales sur le Forex Strategi forex (hedging-martingale- locking profit) Very safe expert - Martingale-Grid-EA Kahuna EA Martingale Techniques What is Forex Martingale Trading ? EA PURE MARTIR Pure Martingale Forex Robot Manual Run Profit 100 percent a Month Martingale Strategy - From $10 to $318  Options Trading Strategies Martingale Strategy As Applied To Binary Options Trading

Martingale can work really well in narrow range situations like in forex like when a pair remains within a 400 or 500 pip range for a good time. As the other comment said if there is a predictable rebounding the opposite way that is the ideal time to use it. Then the strategy has to be smart enough to predict when the rebounds happen and in what size. The amount of the stake can depend on how ... Grid, Martingale, and Hedging are three of the most used strategies by Forex Expert Advisors as well as for manual trading. Different variants of Grids, Martingale and Hedging have been used by automated trading systems in recent years to produce consistent profits for traders who use them. This article aims to explain the nitty-gritty of the three concepts in an easy to understand fashion. Why Martingale Works Better With Forex . One of the reasons the martingale strategy is so popular in the currency market is that currencies, unlike stocks, rarely drop to zero. Although companies ... Results of martingale in forex trading. The automated trading system works as follows: The first trade (long/short) is completely random. The system immediately sets a fixed Profit target, the Stoploss order is not set. If the position reaches a negative result, which equals the value of the profit target, the next position is open. Sequentially opened positions meet the following volume range ... Using The Martingale Technique In Forex The martingale strategy is a money management technique that became popular in the 18 th Century by proposing the unlikely possibility of a 100% profitable ... Martingale trading systems are very popular in Forex automated trading because it’s quite easy to create an expert advisor that would look interesting and attractive using martingale. A system developer can back-test his martingale idea on an optimal history to show charming results, and with a bit of luck, he can even show equally charming forward results for a number of weeks or months ... A forex trader needs to be careful while selecting a forex robot or EA for his business. Especially, if you’re dealing with high-risk strategies like Martingale approach, you cannot bear to take a risk on your EA. Traders who have entered into the realm of forex market just to make some quick bucks generally compromise on the quality of automated solutions and face disappointment in the end.

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Formation Trading - Stratégie : les Martingales sur le Forex

95% Winning Forex Trading Formula - Beat The Market Maker📈 - Duration: 37 ... Binary Options Martingale Strategy, IQ Option, 1 Minute Strategy, 100% Profit Guaranteed - Duration: 17:33. Binary ... Zero risk Forex Robot trading. See how the Grid Trend Multiplier EA profits when your stop is hit - Duration: 17:50. Expert4x 15,012 views EA PURE MARTIR V1.00 is a pure martingale Expert Advisor, This EA can be profitable when running on right timing, for you that like gambling this EA is suitable. Make market prediction by your own ... Apprenez à trader en Bourse et sur le Forex avec nos guides de trading GRATUITS : ... Analyse Technique: les bases sur Forex et en Bourse - Duration: 1:16:55. DailyFX France 54,646 views. 1:16:55 ... Martingale Strategy - From $10 to $318 Options Trading Strategies ... (THE Top Strategy for Forex Trading) - Duration: 32:00. No Nonsense Forex 1,433,105 views. 32:00. Small Account Options ... Kahuna Trading - This video demonstrates how to use Kahuna EA on GBPJPY M15 timeframe, using Martingale techniques for adding capital to your trades, thus improving your overall position. Please ... Martingale strategy can use in online betting and forex , commodity , share trading. Konsep money management dengan hedging dan locking profit.

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